IcePick - 2024-10-27

There are 4 games today, and a potential return of 59%

A bit of an interesting day yesterday, going 10/14. One overtime win away from being a big winning day, the actual results depend on what sportsbook you use.

Additionally, as the IcePick model will soon be in full swing, I have included a few questions throughout todays picks for you to answer. Please read through the whole thing and answer any questions when prompted to help make this the best experience possible.

Previous Results

Here is a summary of how yesterdays bet’s performed & the total returns this season.

However, I personally use bet365 as they pay your bet out as a winner if they take a 3 goal lead (regardless if they end up losing). This happened to be the case with one of the underdogs predicted last night (went from up 3-0 to losing 6-3). Had you used bet365 last night, you would of seen a very small return instead of a loss.

Here is a summary of how yesterdays bet’s performed & the total returns this season with early payout in effect (3 predictions this year would have gotten an early payout and then ended up losing).

Predictions

Here are the predictions for today

Of the 4 predicted winners, 4 are favorites and 0 is an underdog.

Suggested Bets


Wagering 0.5 units on 1 games (0 underdogs) for a potential return of 0.8 units

(0.3 unit profit, 60% ROI)

Matchup

Predicted Winner

Wager (units)

Wager ($10 units)

EDM vs DET

EDM

0

$0

ANA vs NJD

NJD

0

$0

MTL vs PHI

PHI

0.5

$5.0

OTT vs COL

COL

0

$0

More Details:

Matchup

Winner

Odds

Wager (units)

Return

Profit

EDM vs DET

EDM

-250 / 1.4

0

0

0

ANA vs NJD

NJD

-344 / 1.29

0

0

0

MTL vs PHI

PHI

-169 / 1.59

0.5

0.8

0.3

OTT vs COL

COL

-169 / 1.59

0

0

0

Suggested bets - More balanced

There are two main candidates for how the bet amounts are chosen.

One of these (the one we have been using so far) ends up putting much larger bets on predicted underdogs (is influenced more by the difference in IcePick’s predicted win chance and the sportsbook’s implied win chance).

The other option, is less influenced by win chances and has more balanced bets (not a huge difference in amount bet on a favorite vs underdog). Although in certain situations (like the previous 2 days) this would lead to less of a loss, in other situations it will limit your winnings. Below is what the returns for this season would look like using this strategy (with no early payout).

Below are the bet amounts for today under this strategy

Wagering 3.55 units on 4 games (0 underdogs) for a potential return of 5.22 units

(1.67 unit profit, 47% ROI)

Matchup

Predicted Winner

Wager (units)

Wager ($10 units)

EDM vs DET

EDM

0.8

$8.0

ANA vs NJD

NJD

0.9

$9.0

MTL vs PHI

PHI

0.95

$9.5

OTT vs COL

COL

0.9

$9.0

Would you be interested in using these bet amounts for the more balanced strategy?

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Some more questions…

Have you been betting so far?

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Which Sportsbook do you use?

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